FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Graham, after a reelection bid that he won by a clearer margin than polls predicted, has a little bit more leeway here to not be as much of a Trumpist.

Nate Silver

Portman, who is up for reelection in 2022 in increasingly-red Ohio, is one of the more interesting swing votes in the new Senate, in terms of which Republicans might occasionally support Biden. Although he’s sometimes billed as a moderate, he voted with Trump around 90 of the time, suggesting a fairly high degree of partisanship.

Nate Silver

Some further Senate flippers 🐬:


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