FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

Well, Chad, Nixon’s base basically became the Reagan revolution — a reminder that political movements usually outlast their leaders. Trumpism is maybe uniquely tied to Trump personally, but I’d bet his base continues to wield plenty of power in the years ahead.

Nathaniel Rakich

Pence just released a letter in which he says he will not stop Biden’s electoral votes from being counted. This feels like a big moment — after four years of loyalty, Pence has finally made a public break with Trump.

Chadwick Matlin

Nathaniel shared a tweet earlier about the rare nature of the losses that the GOP has suffered while Trump was on the ballot, comparing Trump’s failures to Hoover’s. That comparison aside, it has reminded me of a nagging thought I’ve had throughout the Trump presidency: Will historians forget how much of the country believed in Trump’s vision just because a majority (very slim in some races!) voted him and other GOP politicians out? We don’t hear much about what happened to Hoover’s base these days, for example. Or even Nixon’s.


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