FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Looking at The Washington Post’s list of Republican senators and where they stand on voting to certify the Electoral College results, the likeliest GOP presidential aspirants in the chamber — in my mind — are planning to oppose the count. Cruz, Hawley and Rick Scott all plan to vote against certification. Meanwhile, Cotton is planning to oppose it. A couple other possible candidates — Sasse and Tim Scott — also plan to oppose it, but they seem less likely to run. The one who hasn’t revealed his plans yet is Rubio.

Nathaniel Rakich

Sarah Frostenson

Micah asked earlier whether the giant headline (still) blaring across the top of Politico right now — “Republicans turn on Trump after Georgia loss” — was overblown. And while I agree with Perry and Geoffrey’s assessment from earlier that the anonymous sourcing in this makes it hard to feel like this is a turning point, we have seen some GOP officials, like former Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, start to grapple with this moment, not to mention the usual suspects, like former Sen. Jeff Flake and Sen. Mitt Romney.

What do you all think? Do you think we’ll see more Republican senators and lawmakers start to distance themselves from Trump? The Senate vote today, will in some ways, be a test of that. Currently, 14 senators are expected to object.


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