FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Georgia has 159 counties, the second-most behind Texas, and more than half of them — 98 — have reported at least 95 percent of their expected vote. But less than 40 percent is in from DeKalb County (which is partly in Atlanta) and Forsyth County (a smaller but still sizable and very Republican part of the Atlanta metro are). Savannah (Chatham County) and Augusta (Columbia County) also are at 40 percent or less, while Clarke County (home to Athens and the University of Georgia) is only at 42 percent in. On the whole, there’s probably more vote left out in Democratic-leaning areas, which helps explain why projections such as those at The New York Times give a slight edge to the two Democratic candidates.

Nathaniel Rakich

And Perdue is the only elected incumbent in the bunch, Rick. Incumbency advantage ain’t what it once was, but it’s still worth something.

Rick Klein

We were just talking on the ABC News Live broadcast about the possibility that Warnock and Perdue win — that there’s enough ticket-splitting for that to happen. I still agree with most that that’s unlikely, but it’s a reminder that the four candidates are very different individuals. Warnock has a much more easily identifiable base, of course, and did better relative to the Republicans on the ballot in November.


Exit mobile version