What Happened This Week In Washington — And Georgia
How counties are voting in the regular Senate runoff
The current margins, by county, for the Georgia Senate race between Sen. David Perdue (R) and Jon Ossoff (D) and how that margin compares to the county’s final Nov. presidential margin
| county | County size | Cand. Margin | Pres. Margin | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glynn | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+25.4 | R+23.2 | R+2.2 |
| Oconee | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+37.8 | R+33.5 | R+4.3 |
| Dawson | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+69.0 | R+67.9 | R+1.2 |
| Monroe | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+42.9 | R+42.8 | R+0.1 |
| Union | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+63.8 | R+63.3 | R+0.4 |
| Hart | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+48.8 | R+49.6 | D+0.7 |
| Greene | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+30.3 | R+26.5 | R+3.8 |
| Franklin | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+70.8 | R+69.4 | R+1.4 |
| Washington | ◼️◻️◻️ | D+2.5 | D+0.8 | D+1.7 |
| Mitchell | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+9.7 | R+10.5 | D+0.8 |
| Oglethorpe | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+38.1 | R+38.8 | D+0.7 |
| Crisp | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+24.8 | R+24.9 | D+0.1 |
| Brantley | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+81.4 | R+81.2 | R+0.2 |
| Brooks | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+21.0 | R+20.7 | R+0.3 |
| Screven | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+18.6 | R+18.9 | D+0.3 |
| Ben Hill | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+23.6 | R+26.2 | D+2.6 |
| Long | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+22.6 | R+26.4 | D+3.8 |
| Heard | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+66.6 | R+68.5 | D+1.9 |
| Early | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+4.1 | R+5.0 | D+0.9 |
| Wilkes | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+14.0 | R+13.2 | R+0.8 |
| Bacon | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+73.1 | R+72.7 | R+0.4 |
| Candler | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+42.1 | R+42.1 | R+0.0 |
| Terrell | ◼️◻️◻️ | D+9.4 | D+8.4 | D+1.0 |
| Hancock | ◼️◻️◻️ | D+43.6 | D+43.9 | R+0.2 |
| Johnson | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+41.6 | R+39.7 | R+1.9 |
| Turner | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+23.5 | R+24.8 | D+1.2 |
| Lanier | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+40.3 | R+41.7 | D+1.3 |
| Randolph | ◼️◻️◻️ | D+12.9 | D+9.1 | D+3.8 |
| Chattahoochee | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+8.2 | R+13.5 | D+5.3 |
| Clay | ◼️◻️◻️ | D+11.2 | D+10.7 | D+0.5 |
How counties are voting in the special Senate runoff
The current margins, by county, for the Georgia Senate race between Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) and Raphael Warnock (D) and how that margin compares to the county’s final Nov. presidential margin
| county | County size | Cand. Margin | Pres. Margin | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glynn | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+25.3 | R+23.2 | R+2.1 |
| Oconee | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+36.3 | R+33.5 | R+2.8 |
| Dawson | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+68.4 | R+67.9 | R+0.5 |
| Monroe | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+42.5 | R+42.8 | D+0.3 |
| Union | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+63.6 | R+63.3 | R+0.3 |
| Hart | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+49.2 | R+49.6 | D+0.4 |
| Greene | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+29.2 | R+26.5 | R+2.7 |
| Franklin | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+70.8 | R+69.4 | R+1.4 |
| Washington | ◼️◻️◻️ | D+3.0 | D+0.8 | D+2.2 |
| Mitchell | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+9.3 | R+10.5 | D+1.2 |
| Oglethorpe | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+37.4 | R+38.8 | D+1.4 |
| Crisp | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+24.3 | R+24.9 | D+0.7 |
| Brantley | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+81.5 | R+81.2 | R+0.2 |
| Brooks | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+21.1 | R+20.7 | R+0.4 |
| Screven | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+18.1 | R+18.9 | D+0.9 |
| Ben Hill | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+23.3 | R+26.2 | D+2.8 |
| Long | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+22.3 | R+26.4 | D+4.1 |
| Heard | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+65.8 | R+68.5 | D+2.7 |
| Early | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+4.5 | R+5.0 | D+0.5 |
| Wilkes | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+13.8 | R+13.2 | R+0.6 |
| Bacon | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+73.0 | R+72.7 | R+0.3 |
| Candler | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+42.3 | R+42.1 | R+0.2 |
| Terrell | ◼️◻️◻️ | D+9.7 | D+8.4 | D+1.2 |
| Hancock | ◼️◻️◻️ | D+43.8 | D+43.9 | R+0.1 |
| Johnson | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+41.4 | R+39.7 | R+1.7 |
| Turner | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+23.3 | R+24.8 | D+1.5 |
| Lanier | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+40.1 | R+41.7 | D+1.6 |
| Randolph | ◼️◻️◻️ | D+13.1 | D+9.1 | D+4.0 |
| Chattahoochee | ◼️◻️◻️ | R+8.9 | R+13.5 | D+4.6 |
| Clay | ◼️◻️◻️ | D+11.2 | D+10.7 | D+0.4 |
By this logic, look for Ossoff to be elected president in 2064.
https://twitter.com/gdebenedetti/status/1346638113448349702
It’s hard to know whether the narrative on Twitter and other places has gotten overexuberant for the Democrats. It really does seem to be pretty hard to find favorable data points for the GOP so far, but with this patchwork of Election Day votes, early votes and so on, coming in from very different parts of the state, it can also be easy to cherry-pick evidence. And while Democrats are beating their marks, they they’re mostly doing so by narrow margins.