What Happened This Week In Washington — And Georgia

Wow. That really is wild, Nathaniel.

Nate Cohn of The New York Times/The Upshot estimates that total turnout will eventually hit 4.415 million — at least. It’s hard to overstate what a huge number that is for a runoff election. It would be more than double the previous record for highest turnout in a runoff, 2.1 million in 2008. Heck, it would be more than the 4.1 million people who voted in Georgia in the 2016 general election.

With a big drop of votes coming in, the raw vote counts have tightened a lot. Ossoff now leads by 1.2 points and Warnock leads by 1.8. However, those votes were expected to be pretty Republican and the changes were very much in line with The Needle’s expectations, for instance. Thus, the overall outlook is relatively unchanged.