What Happened This Week In Washington — And Georgia

Sean Trende of RealClearPolitics finds that Ossoff’s vote share now is consistently running slightly ahead of his November vote share in counties that are at least 85 percent reporting.

For what it’s worth, the gap between the races is growing a bit. Warnock leads by 11.6 whereas Ossoff leads by 10.8, a 0.8-point gap, per the NYT. A split outcome still isn’t impossible.

I’m not sure I’d read too much into any reports of turnout dropoffs, Nate. Those counties may simply not yet be fully reporting. The whole “98 percent of the expected vote is in” thing is based simply on estimates of what we think the final turnout will be.