What Happened This Week In Washington — And Georgia

For what it’s worth, the gap between the races is growing a bit. Warnock leads by 11.6 whereas Ossoff leads by 10.8, a 0.8-point gap, per the NYT. A split outcome still isn’t impossible.

I’m not sure I’d read too much into any reports of turnout dropoffs, Nate. Those counties may simply not yet be fully reporting. The whole “98 percent of the expected vote is in” thing is based simply on estimates of what we think the final turnout will be.

Again, there’s nothing here that should make you feel like the race is in the bag for the Democrats — it’s going to be a long night, and we don’t have much info yet on the Election Day vote. But lots of small, bearish signs, like this one, for the GOP.