What Happened This Week In Washington — And Georgia

Micah, I guess I’d say that’s a good reflection of how we’ll interpret the data if Republicans win. But there are other interpretations, like that their turnout is in fact depressed. And if blue counties are having big Election Day turnout, too, like we’re seeing in DeKalb County, Republicans might get the Election Day turnout they want but not win by the margins they want.

That’s an interesting theory, Micah — it doesn’t seem implausible to me that Republicans would be even more leery of voting by mail now than in November. On the other hand, Trump hasn’t exactly limited his false critiques of the November election to voting by mail, and he also was heavily criticizing mail voting in the lead-up to the November election, so I wonder if there’s a limit to the impact of that specific message.

Yeah, Galen, and in addition, there are fewer races on the ballot this time. I’m not sure if that factored into anyone’s thinking, but in-person voting likely took less time today than it did in November.