What Happened This Week In Washington — And Georgia

So the VERY EARLY numbers suggest Ossoff and Warnock slightly outperforming their November numbers. That could change of course, but I’m also seeing some speculation that the GOP vote might have become even more weighted toward Election Day than it was in November (i.e. more Republicans deciding not to vote by mail and waiting for today). Republicans were already much more likely to vote on Election Day, but two more months of Republicans falsely criticizing mail-in voting could have exacerbated the trend even more.

Do people think that’s a reasonable theory?

True. Plus, while Loeffler has leaned hard into the fact that she’s aligned with Trump, Trump himself has continued to ridicule the GOP establishment, which might hurt enthusiasm for this election among his base.

Good points, Kaleigh! It’s worth noting, too, that Trump’s (debunked) claims of voter fraud could actually end up hurting the Republicans in the Georgia Senate races. Why bother to turn out and cast a ballot if you think the whole thing is rigged? It will be interesting to see the final turnout numbers and find out what they look like for Republicans in particular.