FiveThirtyEight
Harry Enten

Q:Historically speaking, what’s the lowest any candidate has been polling nationally at this point before coming back to win the nomination? — commenter Peter Nygaard A:Peter, looking it up, I believe the answer is George McGovern in 1972. He scored just 3 percent in a Gallup national primary poll a few weeks before the Iowa caucuses. Jimmy Carter was only at 4 percent at this point in the 1976 campaign.

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