FiveThirtyEight
Sarah Frostenson

OK, candidate correspondents, we’re about half-way through … how are your candidates faring on the stage tonight? Is their strategy working?

Dan Hopkins

I continue to think that 10 people is just too many for a debate — it makes it so hard to engage, and even the major candidates disappear from view for long stretches. And since there are 45 possible pairings of 10 people, there are way too many possible exchanges.

Galen Druke

Trade is a really fun (I mean complicated) issue for the two parties right now. Decades ago Republicans were for free trade and Democrats were less so. Then, in the era of the new Democrats, mostly everyone agreed that free trade was good. Now there are meaningful segments of both parties that are skeptical about free trade. Given that Trump is enacting tariffs, and candidates want to be anti-Trump, I assume that we’ll hear more in favor of free trade. But it’s still a messy topic for Democrats.


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