What Went Down On Night Two Of The First Democratic Debates

Did Biden raise his hand or not on making illegally crossing the border a civil offense instead of a crime? I don’t think I know. He literally put his hand up halfway and wouldn’t answer when asked if he was raising his hand. Biden was ducking questions before this debate, and now he is doing that during the debate. I know he is the front-runner and maybe these dodges won’t matter. But I tend to think being vague and forcing people to pin you down is not super helpful in the long run.

If immigration is a big issue, the candidates from California and Texas may have an advantage. So far it seems like Harris and Castro have been able to speak most compellingly on this, and it would be interesting to see them in the same debate.

Prediction markets aren’t really anything more than the conventional wisdom quantified, but there have been fairly big moves so far for Harris and, to a lesser extent, Buttigieg.