FiveThirtyEight
Julia Azari

If immigration is a big issue, the candidates from California and Texas may have an advantage. So far it seems like Harris and Castro have been able to speak most compellingly on this, and it would be interesting to see them in the same debate.

Nate Silver

Prediction markets aren’t really anything more than the conventional wisdom quantified, but there have been fairly big moves so far for Harris and, to a lesser extent, Buttigieg.

Nathaniel Rakich

I think that was only Andrew Yang’s second answer tonight. He and Williamson are really fading into the background; maybe it’s their inexperience at this politics thing.


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