So if other voters feel the same way that I do, and there's absolutely no guarantee that they do, one takeaway from that is that this debate won't move the needle all *that* much, other than maybe a modest bump for like Gabbard and Castro or something. But this is also the sort of debate where the post-debate narrative (i.e. the spin) could shape perceptions quite a bit and matter more than the debate itself.
By Nate Silver
