FiveThirtyEight
Perry Bacon Jr.

Seems like a bad night for Deval Patrick, in that Klobuchar and Booker seem to be very much positioning themselves as moderate alternatives to Biden and Buttigieg. That is the lane Patrick, who is not on stage, is trying to carve out.

Nate Silver

Buttigieg has clearly been spending a lot of time in Iowa. And it’s important to keep in mind that his surge is quite Iowa- (and to some extent New Hampshire-)centric. In a world where South Carolina and Nevada voted first, it’s unlikely he’d been in the same position right now.

Aaron Bycoffe

In the FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll conducted this week, 10.7 percent of people said climate change was the most important issue to them in the Democratic primary. Here’s who those respondents thought would be best at handling the issue. (See other results from the poll here.)

Who voters think is best on climate change

Among the 408 respondents who said climate change was the most important issue to them in an Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight poll

candidate Share of respondents
Elizabeth Warren 25.4%
Bernie Sanders 23.3
Joe Biden 15.3
Pete Buttigieg 12.3
Someone else 6.0
Kamala Harris 5.4
Andrew Yang 4.2
Tom Steyer 2.8
Amy Klobuchar 2.0
Cory Booker 1.8
Tulsi Gabbard 0.0

Data comes from polling done by Ipsos for FiveThirtyEight, using Ipsos’s KnowledgePanel, a probability-based online panel that is recruited to be representative of the U.S. population. The poll was conducted from Nov. 14 to Nov. 18 among a general population sample of adults, with 3,786 respondents who say they are likely to vote in their state’s Democratic primary or caucus.


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