FiveThirtyEight
Chris Herring

Are Obama’s gloves coming off more tonight than they did at the John Lewis funeral?

Matt Grossmann

Barack and Michelle Obama remain the most popular figures in the Democratic Party. The Biden nomination may eventually be seen as an extension of the Obama era. When choosing among labels such as “liberal Democrat” and “conservative Democrat,” many 2020 Democrats called themselves an “Obama Democrat.” That large constituency helped Biden win.

Geoffrey Skelley

That Politico article mentions the story about David Plouffe warning Biden that if he ran in 2016, he might end his career with an embarrassing third-place finish in Iowa. Funny story: In 2020, Biden finished fourth, and yet he’s the nominee.


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