FiveThirtyEight
Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

The Violence Against Women Act of 1994 was one of Biden’s proudest accomplishments in the Senate. It was, of course, also part of the big crime bill that passed that year, which is … unpopular among Democrats today, to say the least.

Chris Jackson

Entering prime time, Democrats as a group are increasingly dominating conversation on social media. Normally, more than the conversation is about Trump.

Matt Grossmann

In 2016, House Republicans collectively got more votes than Democrats, meaning they outperformed Trump (who lost the popular vote). Part of the reason is that voters expected Clinton to win, which tends to motivate a few voters to balance government by dividing party control. If voters expect Trump to lose again this year, it could actually slightly hurt Democratic chances in the House and Senate.


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