FiveThirtyEight
Clare Malone

Yeah, Perry, it has echoes of Michelle Obama the other night telling people to vote in person, if they were able to.

Nate Silver

I think the blah-ness may be intentional. It’s not a speech that’s designed to draw a lot of attention to itself.

Meredith Conroy

As Amelia and I wrote about today like all elections since 1980, there will likely be a gender gap in the 2020 election. According to our analysis of recent Democracy Fund + UCLA Nationscape polls, of likely voters, only 37 percent of women said they had a favorable view of the president, while 56 percent said they have a favorable view of Biden. Likely male voters have a rosier view of Trump — 46 percent of men said they have a favorable view of Trump; 51 percent of men said they had a favorable view of Biden.
There’s a big gender gap for Biden — and Trump

Share of male and female likely voters who are supporting Biden and Trump, according to surveys conducted July 23-Aug. 12

Biden Trump
race Female Male margin Female Male margin
Asian/Pacific Islander 67.3% 62.0% +5.3 24.7% 30.7% -5.9
Black 86.8 76.9 +10.0 6.5 16.7 -10.2
Hispanic 57.8 58.0 -0.2 31.1 35.8 -4.7
White 49.3 40.7 +8.6 45.0 54.7 -9.7
All 56.8 47.9 +8.8 36.3 46.8 -10.5

Source: Democracy fund + UCLA Nationscape


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