FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

What do people make of this “a year from now … ” framing?

Julia Azari

This emphasis on Biden as an individual — his empathy, his decency, his authenticity — really reminds me of 1980s and 90s politics, with less focus on parties and more on candidate qualities.

Matt Grossmann

Many speeches at the convention have focused on Trump, but tonight is an opportunity for Biden to sell himself. A study of many different positive and negative messages about Biden and Trump found that Biden messages (pro and con) are much more likely to move voters and change impressions than Trump messages. Voters have already made up their minds about Trump, but are somewhat open to considering positive and negative messages about Biden.


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