FiveThirtyEight
Clare Malone

I’m a little less surprised, Amelia. The rise of loudly left factions in the Democratic Party since the 2018 midterms has put the party’s stance on Israel a little more in question.

Laura Bronner

As the moderators pointed out, Yang is the only non-white candidate on stage tonight. Here’s how the share of voters considering each candidate broke down by race in our poll with Ipsos:

Biden does best among black voters

Share of respondents in an Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight poll who said they were considering each candidate, by race

Race
candidate Black Hispanic Other or Mixed White
Biden 70.5% 52.5% 48.6% 45.8%
Sanders 38.2 51.3 42.2 34.3
Warren 28.8 30.8 49.5 43.0
Buttigieg 11.7 11.8 22.6 34.4
Yang 10.3 11.1 19.6 10.5
Steyer 6.7 7.7 6.9 8.2
Klobuchar 5.4 3.5 6.4 14.2

Data comes from polling done by Ipsos for FiveThirtyEight, using Ipsos’s KnowledgePanel, a probability-based online panel that is recruited to be representative of the U.S. population. The poll was conducted from Dec. 13 to Dec. 18 among a general population sample of adults, with 3,543 respondents who say they are likely to vote in their state’s Democratic primary or caucus. For the likely Democratic primary voter subset of respondents, the poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.8 percentage points.

Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Sanders gets a question on Israel, which has become an increasingly controversial political issue, particularly on the left. He went right after Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, saying he’s a “racist.” This is really a third-rail issue and I’m a little surprised the moderators asked about it.


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