FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Yeah, Sanders almost never makes big screw-ups in debates, and I don’t think that it was a big screw-up, but it was at least a modest one. If you’re going to use your time to go back to an earlier question, you’d better make sure that you’re not sounding dismissive of the new issue you were asked about.

Sarah Frostenson

Yang is right about people of color not having the disposable income to donate to campaigns: The research backs him up. Michelle Ye Hee Lee of The Washington Post wrote a piece earlier this year about just how white political donors tend to be.

Aaron Bycoffe

In the FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll conducted this week, 7.6 percent of respondents listed social-equality issues as most important to them in the Democratic primary. (See other results from the poll here.)

Who voters think is best on issues of social equality

Among the 244 respondents who said racism, sexism, homophobia, transphobia and other types of discrimination were the most important issue to them in an Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight poll

candidate Share of respondents
Bernie Sanders 25.9%
Joe Biden 22.8
Elizabeth Warren 19.9
Pete Buttigieg 17.2
Someone else 6.6
Andrew Yang 2.5
Tom Steyer 1.9
Amy Klobuchar 0.4

Data comes from polling done by Ipsos for FiveThirtyEight, using Ipsos’s KnowledgePanel, a probability-based online panel that is recruited to be representative of the U.S. population. The poll was conducted from Dec. 13 to Dec. 18 among a general population sample of adults, with 3,543 respondents who say they are likely to vote in their state’s Democratic primary or caucus. For the likely Democratic primary voter subset of respondents, the poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.8 percentage points.


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