FiveThirtyEight
Aaron Bycoffe

In the FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll conducted this week, just 2.5 percent of respondents listed taxes as their top issue in the Democratic primary. (See other results from the poll here.)

Which issue matters most to voters?

Share of respondents who named each issue as the most important one in determining who they would vote for, in a FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll

Issue Share of respondents
Health care 20.4%
Wealth and income inequality 13.8
The economy and jobs 12.4
Climate change 10.5
Something else 7.7
Racism, sexism, homophobia, transphobia and other types of discrimination 7.6
Social Security 5.5
Gun policy 5.2
Education 4.7
Immigration 4.6
The Supreme Court 2.8
Taxes 2.5
Foreign affairs 2.4

Data comes from polling done by Ipsos for FiveThirtyEight, using Ipsos’s KnowledgePanel, a probability-based online panel that is recruited to be representative of the U.S. population. The poll was conducted from Dec. 13 to Dec. 18 among a general population sample of adults, with 3,543 respondents who say they are likely to vote in their state’s Democratic primary or caucus. For the likely Democratic primary voter subset of respondents, the poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.8 percentage points.

Clare Malone

I think, Nate, that is a question that a lot of Democrats are asking, or at least Democratic strategists who aren’t involved in a campaign. Health care has made some of these debates a little nasty.

Nate Silver

The wealth tax is an issue for which Warren is clearly well-prepared. I wonder how the primary might have evolved differently if that had been more of a focal point in the debates, rather than health care. And since the wealth tax is quite a bit more popular than Medicare for All, it wouldn’t have created as many potential electability issues for Warren.


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