FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Trade is an issue where, somewhat contrary to the conventional wisdom, the moderate Democrats are really more in line with the median Democratic voter than the left-wing ones; free trade is quite popular among Democrats, in part because it makes for a contrast with Trump’s position.

Aaron Bycoffe

In the FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll conducted this week, 12.4 percent of people said the economy and jobs were the most important issues to them in the Democratic primary. Here’s who those respondents thought would be best at handling the issue. (See other results from the poll here.)
Who voters think is best on the economy and jobs

Among the 418 respondents who said the economy and jobs was the most important issue to them in an Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight poll

candidate Share of respondents
Joe Biden 38.3%
Bernie Sanders 20.1
Someone else 9.0
Andrew Yang 8.0
Tom Steyer 7.6
Elizabeth Warren 5.9
Pete Buttigieg 5.5
Amy Klobuchar 2.7

Data comes from polling done by Ipsos for FiveThirtyEight, using Ipsos’s KnowledgePanel, a probability-based online panel that is recruited to be representative of the U.S. population. The poll was conducted from Dec. 13 to Dec. 18 among a general population sample of adults, with 3,543 respondents who say they are likely to vote in their state’s Democratic primary or caucus. For the likely Democratic primary voter subset of respondents, the poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.8 percentage points.

Nathaniel Rakich

Yeah, Sanders has historically been pretty protectionist, so it’s kinda newsworthy that he just came out as a “no” vote on USMCA.


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