FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

As I said before, Klobuchar had a good night. She looked competent and knowledgeable about a host of issues. She also made some appeals to the African American community, which were very important given her almost nonexistent support among that voting bloc. Still, I remain skeptical that she’s going to get some sort of major bounce in South Carolina. She’s at 4 percent in our polling average there and I don’t think Biden is about to slide in South Carolina and perhaps open up some support for Klobuchar to gain among more moderate voters. Moreover, if Biden were to lose support among black voters, they might go to Steyer, who has made large investments there in money and organization, or Sanders, who is the front-runner in the race and has roughly the same support as Steyer among black voters. Klobuchar just isn’t in a position to really take advantage of a strong debate performance in South Carolina in the same way she was in New Hampshire.


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