The second half of the debate was sort of in line with what I thought was a 30th percentile expectation for Bloomberg given fairly low expectations -- i.e., it seemed stilted and awkward at times, rusty at other times, didn't really come across as a Democrat, and was certainly the opposite of folksy. But OK on the substance for the most part and nothing that necessarily amounted to a huge gaffe. So middling-to-poor, but not terrible. But the first half .. wow. One of the worst performances I can remember, particularly for his nonanswers about women and nondisclosure agreements, and pretty much everyone else on stage was willing to twist the knife in. These were not easy things to defend, necessarily. But he came across as smug and unrelatable and dismissive, and he's going to give fodder to the media and to the other candidates to investigate these lines of attack. There's a range of possible voter reactions from "minor hiccup that he'll paper over with $100 million of ads" to "completely blew his shot at the nomination" -- with the most likely outcomes being somewhere in between. But this was not a very good debut.