What Went Down At The Nevada Democratic Debate

Prediction markets are stupid, but Bloomberg’s odds have crashed from 28.2 percent to 21.5 over at BetFair over the course of this debate, for what it’s worth.

Micah, it’s early, but it seems very clear to me that Warren has been the winner and Bloomberg the loser of this debate. Given that this seems like a very decisive/volatile time in the primary, I bet it will have some effect. I don’t think we should make broad presumptions like “it’s the end of Bloomberg’s campaign.” But I’d bet on some polling movement, yeah — enough maybe to change Warren’s narrative and deny Bloomberg a few hundred Super Tuesday delegates.

Bloomberg saying the nondisclosure agreements were made “consensually” gets sarcastic laughs from the watch party.