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Election 2020: Live Results And Analysis

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Updated 11:27 PM |

What Went Down At The January Democratic Debate

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Our FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll shows that Biden has far and away the most potential support among black voters. And Buttigieg’s support is higher among white voters, as is Klobuchar’s.

Biden does best among black voters

Share of respondents in an Ipsos/FiveThirtyEight poll who said they were considering each candidate, by race

Race
candidate Black Hispanic Other or Mixed White
Biden 68.2% 48.7% 46.3% 45.4%
Sanders 42.7 50.7 48.7 38.7
Warren 30.0 28.1 47.7 40.1
Steyer 9.7 6.4 7.8 11.7
Buttigieg 8.7 13.8 22.3 31.4
Klobuchar 5.1 5.4 8.0 16.1

Data comes from polling done by Ipsos for FiveThirtyEight, using Ipsos’s KnowledgePanel, a probability-based online panel that is recruited to be representative of the U.S. population. The poll was conducted from Jan. 10 to Jan. 13 among a general population sample of adults, with 3,057 respondents who say they are likely to vote in their state’s Democratic primary or caucus. For the likely Democratic primary voter subset of respondents, the poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.9 percentage points.