FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

From our primary forecast model’s POV, do the Sanders and Biden lanes overlap more or do the Sanders and Warren ones?

Nathaniel Rakich

Buttigieg uses his answer on the USMCA to talk about how his part of the country, the industrial Midwest, felt left behind by free-trade deals. Yesterday, I visited a Buttigieg field office in Newton, Iowa, which was hit hard by the closure of a big Maytag factory in 2007. A couple dozen volunteers squeezed into the tiny office for a weekly meeting. According to Buttigieg’s staff there (who, of course, are probably biased), it was the most mobilized they have ever seen that area for a candidate.

Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Sanders is being civil about it, but he’s taking pains in this debate to emphasize his differences with Biden — first on foreign policy, now on trade.


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