Updated 12:05 AM | Jul. 28, 2016What Went Down On Day Three Of The Democratic ConventionBy FiveThirtyEightFiled under 2016 Election Harry Enten 9:01 pm See moreWhat are the odds that either Gary Johnson or Jill Stein can make it into the debates?— David Savage (@david_t_savage) July 27, 2016 Answer It doesn’t seem particularly likely right now. A candidate needs to be polling at 15 percent to make it into the debates. Johnson is averaging just 8 percent in the polls, and Stein isn’t anywhere close to that. × The best of FiveThirtyEight, delivered to you. Thanks for subscribing!You should receive a confirmation in your inbox shortly. Error: {{data}}. Email Address Morning Distribution (Daily) Your daily briefing from FiveThirtyEight. Top Stories Newsletter (Weekly) FiveThirtyEight’s top stories last week. Politics Newsletter (Weekly) FiveThirtyEight’s top politics stories last week. Popular Stories Why Trump Is Polling Much Better Among Very Conservative Primary Voters Than In 2016 Are Black And Hispanic Americans Abandoning Biden? The 2024 Republican Primary Is Heating Up. Time For Another FiveThirtyEight Primary Draft!