FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

I think Biden would probably have been knocked out early in the process. But it’s possible that he’d have split the establishment vote enough that we’d be at a contested convention right now.
Harry Enten

I don’t think he would have done well. He would have had little support from party elites, and the progressive movement was squarely behind Sanders. Liberals would have been unlikely to fall for a former senator from Delaware, which has a lot of corporate loopholes.
Micah Cohen

If Joe Biden had run this year, challenging Clinton for the Democratic nomination, how do you think he would have done?

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