FiveThirtyEight
Carl Bialik

Sanders supporters were likely among those chanting “no more war.” A poll conducted last month by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs showed that just 12 percent of Sanders supporters favored a dominant role for the U.S. in the world, compared with 29 percent of Clinton supporters. And 15 percent of Sanders supporters said maintaining superior military power wasn’t important at all, compared with 8 percent of Clinton supporters. CORRECTION (July 28, 10:30 a.m.): An earlier version of this entry misstated the name of the group that conducted a poll of Clinton and Sanders supporters. It is the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, not Public Affairs.
Harry Enten

If the crowd wasn’t in love with Panetta, it seems ready to go for Joe Biden. The “Joe” signs are out, and the crowd is loud.
Farai Chideya

“America faces flashpoints and threats around the world,” said Leon Panetta, in a speech arguing that Clinton would make a better leader in a time of terrorism and geopolitical conflict than Trump would. Both the Republican and Democratic conventions focused on these issues, though in different ways with different emotional textures. It’s worth keeping in mind that Americans, only partly because of our geography, have experienced fewer terrorist incidents than Europe. “Donald Trump cannot become our commander in chief,” Panetta said. An analysis by Daniel L. Byman of the Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution reads in part: “Over 5,000 Europeans have gone to fight in Iraq and Syria; less than 200 Americans have joined the struggle. Europe also shares a land border with Iraq and Syria via Turkey and is logistically far more accessible for Islamic State fighters to go back and forth, while the United States is protected by two great oceans. Even putting foreign fighters and simple geography aside, Muslim communities in Europe have more radicalized individuals who stay in Europe, and thus a greater native pool of recruits for lone wolf and other attacks.” One question facing U.S. military and political leaders that has become a flashpoint in this election is how immigration and refugee policies affect our exposure to terrorism — an issue on which the two parties sharply divide.

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