FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

By the way, had a few experiences of the California delegates being pretty nasty to press when you try to sit on stand near them. And those were followed by a protest action, of one kind or another. You get the sense there’s some organizing going on within the delegation that they don’t want to let anyone else in on.
Julia Azari

With the exception of some kind of outburst from the California delegation, it seems like there’s a positive reception for the speeches tonight, including former CIA Director Leon Panetta. This is a pretty strong contrast with some of the debates between Sanders and Clinton, in which Sanders fiercely criticized Clinton’s Iraq War vote and foreign policy approach. Her actions and positions, including her praise for Henry Kissinger in that debate, have drawn ire from progressives. For her part, Clinton questioned her opponent’s credentials and readiness in foreign affairs. As I wrote this, delegates began to chant “no more war” — which could be directed at Trump as well as the Democratic nominee.
Harry Enten

Answer

It doesn’t seem particularly likely right now. A candidate needs to be polling at 15 percent to make it into the debates. Johnson is averaging just 8 percent in the polls, and Stein isn’t anywhere close to that.

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