FiveThirtyEight
Carl Bialik

General-election polls aren’t worth much yet, but for what little they are worth, Clinton is leading both Trump and Cruz by 5 percentage points in the average poll of those respective hypothetical matchups.
Carl Bialik

Trump cites the polls more than any other candidate — which isn’t surprising because he’s leading in so many of them. Less surprising: He cites ones that are more favorable to him than the polling average.
Carl Bialik

Trump has three times referenced his net worth of $10 billion, and twice said he is worth more than $10 billion. As has been a theme during his public life, his claimed fortune is far more vast than others’ estimates of his fortune.

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