FiveThirtyEight
Julia Azari

The candidates appear to have gotten the Iraq question out of the way early tonight. But Clinton’s 2003 vote has followed her through two Democratic primary campaigns. I’ve been struck by how much the legacy of the Iraq War has figured into both parties’ debates.
DEBATE DATE
April 26, 2007 40
June 3, 2007 39
June 28, 2007 8
July 23, 2007 52
Aug. 7, 2007 50
Aug. 19, 2007 24
Sept. 9, 2007 32
Sept. 26, 2007 59
Oct. 30, 2007 44
Nov. 15, 2007 39
Dec. 4, 2007 26
Dec. 13, 2007 14
Jan. 5, 2008 25
Jan. 15, 2008 26
Jan. 21, 2008 27
Jan. 31, 2008 28
Feb. 21, 2008 12
Feb. 26, 2008 27
April 16, 2008 27
References to Iraq in the 2008 Democratic debates

Source: The American Presidency Project

DEBATE
Oct. 13, 2015 17
Nov. 14, 2015 25
Dec. 19, 2015 14
Jan 17, 2016 7
Feb. 4, 2016 16
Feb. 11, 2016 6
March 6, 2016 1
March 9, 2016 2
April 14, 2016 ?
References to Iraq in the 2016 Democratic debates

Source: The American Presidency Project

The tables here show how many times the word “Iraq” came up in the 2008 and 2016 Democratic nomination debates. Not surprisingly, we see a lot more of it in 2008, when it was the central foreign policy question. In 2016, other foreign policy issues — like ISIS, Russia and the aftermath of the Arab Spring — have also driven the discussion. But the early part of 2016 looks much like the end of the 2008 season in terms of the raw numbers of references. And both years display similar patterns: more Iraq references in the earlier debates and fewer mentions after the new year — and the start of the primary voting.

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