FiveThirtyEight
Farai Chideya

I agree with the many people saying Ted Cruz is having a great debate, but I still don’t think he’s in the league of “the one to beat.” First of all, he was born in Canada. <Ducking.> Seriously, he’s alienated plenty of the Republican establishment, which will work against who helps him in their localities. On the other hand, he has a strong ground game in unusual stomping grounds like the territory of Guam, which does matter in the process.

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