Updated 11:09 PM | Oct. 7, 2015How The Cubs Won The NL Wild-Card GameFiveThirtyEightFiled under 2015 MLB Playoffs Neil Paine 10:04 pm Ooof — as Chad wrote, that double play dropped Pittsburgh’s win probability by 13 percentage points. But don’t feel too bad, Starling Marte: it only tied for the sixth-costliest double play hit into by a Pirate batter in postseason history. × The best of FiveThirtyEight, delivered to you. Thanks for subscribing!You should receive a confirmation in your inbox shortly. Error: {{data}}. Email Address Morning Distribution (Daily) Your daily briefing from FiveThirtyEight. Top Stories Newsletter (Weekly) FiveThirtyEight’s top stories last week. Politics Newsletter (Weekly) FiveThirtyEight’s top politics stories last week. Popular Stories Busting 4 Major Myths About Referees In The NBA Playoffs These 3 Former MLB Prospects Have Gone From Busts To Busting Out Can Anyone Stop The Big, Bad Bruins?