FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Related to Nathaniel’s comment, I noticed that in deep blue Los Angeles County, about 1.85 million votes have been cast on the recall question, but only about 850,000 have been cast on the replacement question. That speaks to the pre-election polls that suggested a huge number of Democratic voters planned to not vote for any of the replacement candidates. This was in part because Newsom’s campaign explicitly encouraged voters to do that and also because California Democrats discouraged any notable Democrats from running — so even if a Democrat had wanted to vote for a replacement choice, they would likely be unfamiliar with any candidates on the replacement ballot.


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