What Went Down At The California Recall Election: Live Results

I’m curious for people’s takes on this tweet — if “no” wins as it’s looking like will happen:

https://twitter.com/imillhiser/status/1437979089206456325?s=21

1. Is this an accurate description of how the campaign played out in California?
2. If so, does it apply outside blue states (in swing states, to be exact)?