What Went Down At The California Recall Election: Live Results

In another positive sign for Newsom — with all the caveats Nathaniel cited about these results possibly changing as we get more results — Democrats currently outnumber Republicans in these preliminary results, by 17 percentage points, 43-to-26 (with the rest being independent voters and others). That gap might narrow as we get more data, but currently that means the electorate looks more like Newsom’s 2018 bid for governor (46-23 percent, Democrat vs. Republican) and less like the 2003 recall (39-38 percent Democrat-Republican).