FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

Another question now that the recall is projected to fail: Can we say anything yet about how accurate polls are looking to have been? Or too much of the vote left to count for that?

Sarah Frostenson

And so while ABC News and other outlets have projected that the recall vote will fail, one thing to point out is that Question 2 on the ballot — who should replace Newsom — is essentially moot. As such, it will not be projected by the ABC News Decision Desk. That said, it seems as if Elder was leading on that question with more than 40 percent of the vote.

Nathaniel Rakich

The ABC News Decision Desk is now projecting that the recall of California Gov. Gavin Newsom has failed.


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