What Went Down At The California Recall Election: Live Results
I’m curious for people’s takes on this tweet — if “no” wins as it’s looking like will happen:
https://twitter.com/imillhiser/status/1437979089206456325?s=21
- Is this an accurate description of how the campaign played out in California?
- If so, does it apply outside blue states (in swing states, to be exact)?
Related to Nathaniel’s comment, I noticed that in deep blue Los Angeles County, about 1.85 million votes have been cast on the recall question, but only about 850,000 have been cast on the replacement question. That speaks to the pre-election polls that suggested a huge number of Democratic voters planned to not vote for any of the replacement candidates. This was in part because Newsom’s campaign explicitly encouraged voters to do that and also because California Democrats discouraged any notable Democrats from running — so even if a Democrat had wanted to vote for a replacement choice, they would likely be unfamiliar with any candidates on the replacement ballot.
Elder is currently leading the replacement question with 40 percent of the vote. Paffrath is in second place, all the way back at 12 percent, followed by Faulconer, who is doing better than expected at 10 percent. (I wonder if Faulconer, as a more moderate Republican, might be overperforming on mail ballots, too.)