FiveThirtyEight
Jacob Rubashkin

I agree with Kaleigh here. Even if Republicans win the House and Senate, they will have lost up to 217 individual House seats and up to a dozen Senate seats, many of which are less Democratic than the state of California.

And don’t forget the legislative agenda element. If Republicans retake control of Congress and some of the various states, there will be immense pressure from their base to focus on election integrity and these false claims of fraud. That alone will keep the issue alive for Republican voters.

Kaleigh Rogers

I’m not sure, Galen. Trump won in many states in 2020, and that didn’t assuage any claims about fraud.

Galen Druke

History tells us that Republicans are in a good position to win the House in 2022. If they do, do you think winning in a midterm election will allay people’s anxieties about fraud?


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