FiveThirtyEight
Galen Druke

History tells us that Republicans are in a good position to win the House in 2022. If they do, do you think winning in a midterm election will allay people’s anxieties about fraud?

Geoffrey Skelley

My view is that if Republicans are willing to claim an election is rigged in a blue state where they’re significant underdogs, they’re basically unwilling to accept election outcomes where they lose anywhere. And that’s a huge problem for the country, and it bodes ill for the potential acceptance of election results in 2022 and, of course, 2024.

Kaleigh Rogers

Indeed. I do wonder if there is a long-term consequence like what you’re suggesting, Micah. If the playbook for the GOP going forward is to raise the specter of election fraud after (or, evidently, before) any election with an outcome that’s unfavorable to them, after a while that will further erode faith in the electoral process. And then I wonder if Republican voters will bother showing up to the polls. What’s the point of casting a ballot in a “rigged” election?


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