FiveThirtyEight
Kaleigh Rogers

This is a textbook example from a Telegram user posting in the chatroom for a QAnon influencer who has close to 100,000 followers on the chat app. This illustrates the perspective of many on the right nicely:

The thinking is that the fraud occurs in many different ways but that the audits and reviews will count the real votes, which Republicans still need to cast today so the “right” result will be revealed eventually.

Kaleigh Rogers

It’s important to understand the mindset of many Republican voters currently, which is that fraud is a predetermined conclusion. They’re expectation is that Newsom will win but that his win will be illegitimate, and that once the fraud is exposed, Elder will be declared the “true” winner. Many are still waiting for this to happen with the 2020 election results. So (possibly accidentally) publishing a website that prematurely declares Newsom the winner wouldn’t be shocking to those voters, and they will go forward as planned while tracking any “evidence” of fraud they spot during the process of casting a ballot.

Micah Cohen

A question for the group: As we’ve discussed, Elder’s claims of fraud are baseless, but another thing that stood out to me in his campaign’s statement is that they said Newsom would remain governor.

It seems like all efforts to undermine the legitimacy of an election risk discouraging your voters from turning out — they might think, “Why bother?” But given that Elder and the pro-recall side in California are relying disproportionately on people voting today (rather than voting early) and given that they went the extra step of not only falsely saying there is fraud but also what the result would be, could all that persuade pro-recall voters from showing up today?


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