What Went Down At The California Recall Election: Live Results

It’s important to understand the mindset of many Republican voters currently, which is that fraud is a predetermined conclusion. They’re expectation is that Newsom will win but that his win will be illegitimate, and that once the fraud is exposed, Elder will be declared the “true” winner. Many are still waiting for this to happen with the 2020 election results. So (possibly accidentally) publishing a website that prematurely declares Newsom the winner wouldn’t be shocking to those voters, and they will go forward as planned while tracking any “evidence” of fraud they spot during the process of casting a ballot.

A question for the group: As we’ve discussed, Elder’s claims of fraud are baseless, but another thing that stood out to me in his campaign’s statement is that they said Newsom would remain governor.

It seems like all efforts to undermine the legitimacy of an election risk discouraging your voters from turning out — they might think, “Why bother?” But given that Elder and the pro-recall side in California are relying disproportionately on people voting today (rather than voting early) and given that they went the extra step of not only falsely saying there is fraud but also what the result would be, could all that persuade pro-recall voters from showing up today?

Though Newsom is the big name on the ballot today, he is not the only California politician who could be recalled this year — or even this week.

Two additional recall elections — one targeting the district attorney in Wine Country’s Sonoma County and another seeking to remove two city councilmembers in Vernon, a small city just south of downtown Los Angeles — are taking place today. And there are at least 30 other recall campaigns, mostly targeting local officials like school board members and city councilmembers, currently underway in the state.

Here are some (but by no means all) of the ongoing recall campaigns in the state and their current status:

• Recall efforts for three of the 15 members of the Los Angeles City Council are underway. Petitions seeking to recall Mike Bonin and Nithya Raman were approved for circulation earlier this summer, while a petition to recall Kevin de León was approved last week. All three recall campaigns cited the city’s ongoing struggle to help its unhoused population. To qualify for the ballot, the recall must gather signatures from 15 percent of the district’s registered voters. For Bonin and Raman, that’s about 27,000 signatures by early November; for de León, the figure will be closer to about 20,500 by mid-December.
• Two progressive prosecutors are also facing recalls. The campaign to unseat L.A. District Attorney George Gascón is in the signature-gathering phase. Opponents of Gascón have until Oct. 27 to collect over 570,000 signatures, or 10 percent of the county’s registered voters. And the district attorney of San Francisco has faced not one but two recall efforts this year. The first effort to get a recall of Chesa Boudin on the ballot failed to gather enough signatures by its August deadline; a second effort has until October to collect approximately 51,000 signatures.
• Finally, petitions to recall multiple board members of the Chico, Los Gatos-Saratoga, Lucia Mar, San Francisco, San Juan and Santa Monica-Malibu school districts have been approved for circulation. Proponents of many of these recalls cited frustrations with how the various school boards handled the COVID-19 pandemic. Petitions have between 120 and 160 days to obtain signatures from 15 percent of the registered voters in their school district. (The amount of circulation time is dependent on the number of registered voters.) So far, only one signature deadline — for three members of the San Francisco Unified School District Board of Education — has passed. Proponents of the recall say they have enough signatures to qualify at least one recall for the ballot; the signatures must be verified before an election can be scheduled.

But regardless of when the election occurs, it will not be the first attempt to recall a school board member in California this year: Two of the five members of the El Rancho Unified School District Board of Education lost recall elections in June (although one of the recalled board members had resigned by the time the actual election came around).