FiveThirtyEight
Emma Riley

To go back to Kaleigh’s point, I agree that the practicality of the recall is the most problematic aspect, not the actual concept. Adding on to what Ryan said, too, a system that allows someone who gets such a tiny percentage of the vote to govern the most populous state in the country and a campaign strategy of telling people not to fill out half the ballot doesn’t feel very democratic. In theory, recall elections seem like a fair check on power. In reality, most Californians think this particular one is a waste of money.

But there’s probably a better way to do it. According to a July PPIC poll, only about a third of likely voters thought the recall process is “fine the way it is.” A majority (68 percent) supported a reform that would hold a runoff election between the top replacement candidates.

Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

I was joking last winter that Newsom should have appointed himself to Harris’s Senate seat for exactly the reasons Nathaniel was talking about — he’d end his political career, but at least he’d make it to the Senate for two years! It would be ironic if the recall ends up burnishing his political career and making his national political dreams a reality.

Geoffrey Skelley

Nathaniel makes a good point. Recall (heh) that Walker’s survival in the 2012 Wisconsin recall helped make him into more of a conservative hero, and after he won reelection in 2014, he was a leading GOP presidential contender in 2016, although his campaign ended up collapsing early on. Perhaps Newsom could find himself as a big Democratic name for the future …


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