FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

About half the expected vote is in from California’s 45th District, and Democrat Jay Chen, a community college trustee, holds a slight edge over Republican Rep. Michelle Steel, 46 percent to 44 percent. That pretty much guarantees they will be the two candidates to advance to November.

Jacob Rubashkin

In California’s 40th District, it’s looking like a late GOP investment paid off for Rep. Young Kim, who has just 32 percent of the vote but is outpacing fellow Republican Greg Raths, who has just 20 percent. In the closing weeks of the race there were worries that Raths would make it to the general election instead of Kim, where he’d put the seat in jeopardy against Democrat Asif Mahmood (47 percent). But that outcome seems to have been averted, and Mahmood will likely face Kim in the fall.

Latest count in the top-two primary for California’s 40th District

Results of the top-two primary for California’s 40th Congressional District, as of 11:53 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Party Votes Vote %
Asif Mahmood D 32,069 47.3%
Young Kim* R 21,868 32.3
Greg Raths R 13,044 19.2
Nick Taurus R 802 1.2

In a top-two primary, all candidates run together and the leading two vote-getters advance to the general election, regardless of party.

*Incumbent

67% of the expected vote has been reported.

Source: ABC News

Nathaniel Rakich

With 28 percent reporting in California’s 42nd District, Democrat Robert Garcia is still in a commanding lead with 49 percent. Regardless of whether he faces Republican John Briscoe (currently at 24 percent) or Democrat Cristina Garcia (currently at 13 percent) in November, he looks like a solid favorite to head to Congress in this dark-blue seat.


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