FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Nothing’s been projected yet with about 60 percent of the expected vote in for California’s 27th District, but it’s very likely we are going to get Garcia-Smith Round 3: The Midterm Matchup. GOP Rep. Mike Garcia defeated former Assemblywoman Christy Smith in a May 2020 special and in the November 2020 general election by a little over 300 votes, so they could have another very close election this fall, assuming there are no more surprises tonight. And with their leads, that seems unlikely: Garcia is at 43 percent, Smith is at 41 percent and the other supposedly competitive Democrat, Navy veteran Quaye Quartey, is way back with 7 percent.

Latest count in the top-two primary for California’s 27th District

Results of the top-two primary for California’s 27th Congressional District, as of 11:47 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Party Votes Vote %
Mike Garcia* R 21,984 42.8%
Christy Smith D 21,241 41.3
Quaye Quartey D 3,342 6.5
Ruth Luevanos D 2,961 5.8
David Rudnick R 1,189 2.3
Mark Pierce R 700 1.4

In a top-two primary, all candidates run together and the leading two vote-getters advance to the general election, regardless of party.

*Incumbent

59% of the expected vote has been reported.

Source: ABC News

Alex Samuels

I’m still monitoring the results in California’s 15th District, but it’s looking like the eventual outcome is becoming more and more clear. With 58 percent of the expected vote in, Assemblyman Kevin Mullin leads with about 42 percent of the vote. He’s followed by David Canepa, who represents the far-left flank of the Democratic party, at 25 percent.

Latest count in the top-two primary for California’s 15th District

Results of the top-two primary for California’s 15th Congressional District, as of 11:50 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Party Votes Vote %
Kevin Mullin D 21,839 41.6%
David Canepa D 13,062 24.9
Gus Mattammal R 8,374 16.0
Emily Beach D 7,191 13.7
Jim Garrity Ind. 1,013 1.9
Andrew Watters D 703 1.3
Ferenc Pataki Ind. 295 0.6

In a top-two primary, all candidates run together and the leading two vote-getters advance to the general election, regardless of party.

58% of the expected vote has been reported.

Source: ABC News

Jacob Rubashkin

The outcome is looking pretty clear in California’s 5th District. With about half the vote counted, GOP Rep. Tom McClintock leads with 42 percent of the vote, followed by Democrat Michael Barkley at 39 percent. Another Republican, Fresno County Supervisor Nathan Magsig, has just 12 percent and doesn’t look likely to make the general election.


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