FiveThirtyEight
Alex Samuels

I’m still monitoring the results in California’s 15th District, but it’s looking like the eventual outcome is becoming more and more clear. With 58 percent of the expected vote in, Assemblyman Kevin Mullin leads with about 42 percent of the vote. He’s followed by David Canepa, who represents the far-left flank of the Democratic party, at 25 percent.

Latest count in the top-two primary for California’s 15th District

Results of the top-two primary for California’s 15th Congressional District, as of 11:50 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Party Votes Vote %
Kevin Mullin D 21,839 41.6%
David Canepa D 13,062 24.9
Gus Mattammal R 8,374 16.0
Emily Beach D 7,191 13.7
Jim Garrity Ind. 1,013 1.9
Andrew Watters D 703 1.3
Ferenc Pataki Ind. 295 0.6

In a top-two primary, all candidates run together and the leading two vote-getters advance to the general election, regardless of party.

58% of the expected vote has been reported.

Source: ABC News

Jacob Rubashkin

The outcome is looking pretty clear in California’s 5th District. With about half the vote counted, GOP Rep. Tom McClintock leads with 42 percent of the vote, followed by Democrat Michael Barkley at 39 percent. Another Republican, Fresno County Supervisor Nathan Magsig, has just 12 percent and doesn’t look likely to make the general election.

Galen Druke

In fact, NBC has already projected the recall outcome: Boudin is out. This is a notable rejection of progressive criminal justice reforms in the deep blue city of San Francisco, just a year after school board recalls marked a rejection of some of the city’s progressive school policies.


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